Barbara Patricelli, Maria Grazia Bernardini, Cecilia Sgalletta, Michela Mapelli
A competent, timely feasibility calculation bounding the BNS-merger contribution to FRBs at ~2%, but incremental and resting on a strong assumed FRB-BNS association.
Fast Radio Bursts (FRBs) are highly energetic radio sources whose duration is of the order of milliseconds. The physical origin of these sources is still unknown. Many models suggest magnetars as possible progenitors of FRBs, and this is supported by the association between FRBs and the Galactic magnetar SGR 1935+2154; other proposed progenitors include binary neutron star (BNS) mergers, that are themselves linked to magnetar formation. In this work we investigate the possible connection between FRBs and BNS mergers, including magnetars that might be produced in such events, by comparing the detection rates inferred from synthetic BNS and associated FRB populations with the rates observed by CHIME. We produce a synthetic catalog of BNS mergers by combining recent theoretically predicted BNS merger rate as a function of redshift and the neutron star mass distribution inferred from measurements of Galactic BNSs. Using this catalog we predict the number of BNS systems ending as magnetars (stable or supramassive neutron star) or black holes (formed promptly or after the collapse of a hypermassive neutron star) for different equations of state. We then simulate for each BNS (and therefore for each magnetar remnant) an associated FRB and estimate how many of them can be potentially detected by CHIME. We find that the rate of BNS mergers and the rate of magnetars produced after BNS represents a non-negligible fraction of the FRBs detected by CHIME, both repeating and non-repeating. Although additional formation channels need to be considered to account for the entire population of FRBs, the existence of a fraction of FRBs that might genuinely be associated to BNS mergers has profound implications in the context of multi- messenger astronomy, supporting the systematic searches of coincident detections of FRBs and GWs from a BNS merger with current and future facilities.
Core Contribution. This is a short (5-page) A&A paper that quantitatively estimates the fraction of CHIME-detected FRBs that could originate from binary neutron star (BNS) mergers and their magnetar remnants. The approach chains together several established ingredients: a theoretically-predicted cosmic BNS merger rate from the SEVN binary population synthesis code (bracketing common-envelope efficiency α), a Galactic-inferred NS mass distribution, three equations of state (EOS) to determine merger remnants (BH vs. hypermassive/supramassive/stable NS), and an observationally-calibrated FRB energy distribution (Hashimoto et al. 2022) to compute detectable rates against CHIME's completeness threshold and duty cycle. The headline result is that BNS mergers and their magnetar remnants can account for up to ~2% of the observed non-repeating FRB rate, and a small number of candidate-repeater sources. This is a bounding/feasibility calculation rather than a discovery.
Methodological Rigor. The methodology is sound in that it uses well-established, peer-reviewed tools and observational inputs, and it appropriately propagates two dominant uncertainties (α governing the merger rate, and EOS governing the remnant fraction). The bracketing of α to match GWTC-5 local rates is a reasonable calibration. However, the central assumption—that every BNS merger/magnetar remnant produces exactly one FRB whose energy is drawn from a generic FRB energy distribution—is a strong simplification that essentially converts the calculation into "what if BNS mergers were FRB sources with typical FRB energetics." There is no physical model linking the BNS remnant properties to the FRB energy; the association is imposed by fiat. This makes the result an upper-bound-style plausibility estimate rather than a prediction from first principles, which the authors largely acknowledge (repeater rates are explicitly called upper limits). No statistical uncertainty bands beyond the α/EOS/redshift-bin grid are given, and the FRB spectral index and energy limits are fixed fiducial values.
Potential Impact. The practical takeaway—that a non-negligible but subdominant fraction of FRBs might be BNS-associated—provides quantitative motivation for continued systematic FRB–GW coincidence searches (LVK, and future CHORD, DSA-2000, SKA, BURSTT). This is a useful but incremental contribution to the multi-messenger community. The ~2% figure is modest and, given the assumptions, will likely be cited as supporting motivation rather than as a robust constraint. The paper does not enable a new capability; it re-frames existing rates. Its influence will most plausibly be within the FRB-progenitor and multi-messenger subfields.
Timeliness & Relevance. Very timely. FRB progenitor identification is an active, unresolved problem, and the interplay with GW-detected BNS mergers is squarely relevant as detector sensitivities improve. The paper uses very recent (2026) CHIME catalogs and GWTC-5 rates, showing it is well-embedded in the current data landscape.
Strengths. (1) Clean integration of state-of-the-art population synthesis with FRB observational statistics. (2) Careful treatment of remnant classification across EOS. (3) Separates repeaters and non-repeaters appropriately. (4) Honest about limitations and about needing additional formation channels (core-collapse SNe magnetars) to explain the full FRB population. (5) Grounded in the strongest available observational anchors (SGR 1935+2154, GW170817 tidal constraints).
Limitations. (1) The FRB–BNS association is assumed, not modeled; the energy distribution is borrowed from the general FRB population, creating circularity in the comparison. (2) Result is essentially an order-of-magnitude/upper-limit estimate. (3) No exploration of dynamical formation channels (dismissed qualitatively). (4) Limited quantitative novelty—it extends the authors' own prior work (Patricelli & Bernardini 2020; Patricelli et al. 2024) with updated inputs. (5) Data availability "on request" rather than public code/catalog release limits reproducibility somewhat, though methods are well-referenced.
Reproducibility. The pipeline is described with sufficient equations and references that an expert could reconstruct it, but it relies on the SEVN code and galaxyRate outputs plus specific catalogs; data is only shared on request. A determined group could replicate the qualitative result.
Overall. A competent, timely, well-executed but incremental letter that provides a useful quantitative bound motivating multi-messenger searches. It is unlikely to change how the field approaches FRB origins but will be a citable reference point for the BNS-merger channel. The core result is modest in magnitude and rests on a strong simplifying assumption, tempering its significance.
Generated Sep 7, 2026
A competent, timely feasibility calculation bounding the BNS-merger contribution to FRBs at ~2%, but incremental and resting on a strong assumed FRB-BNS association.